EBM framework outline
Implementing a Scientific Framework for Ecosystem Based Management Decision-making
Outline for a manuscript - target journals, Marine Policy, Ecological Applications, …
Introduction
Key features of EBM that shape the framework for advice
cross sectoral analysis
focus on interaction between sectors and their management
need to evaluate cumulative impacts of human activities on ecosystems
need to make explicit decisions about tradeoffs in ecosystem services
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Need for scientific advice for EBM compared to conventional management advice
because of potential for interactions between different activities in the marine environment focus on tradeoffs in ecosystem services.
decision theoretic framework allows policy to explicitly consider options
conventional management usually focuses on single sector objectives
Steps in Developing Scientific Advice - steps presented serially, but may actually be in parallel and include substantial interation between steps
Defining the Boundaries of the Ecosystem
using solely biophysical properties can specific areas be delineated that seem to share commonality
starting point for discussion of management units or areas
geographically bounding the future policy discussion
recognize that some species and properties inevitably cross boundaries so the boundaries are inherently leaky
looking for subregional boundaries for possible analysis of management options.
give specific example of process and illustrate output
Identifying Primary Threats to Ecosystem Attributes
threats identified at regional and then localized scale
potential negative impacts of activities (threats) ranked relative to each other, by ecosystem type
focus attention on primary activities that have the potential for negative impacts, thereby allowing for more focused analysis of interactions and feedbacks among activities (see below)
definition of “activity” is related to the ecosystem service
give specific example of process and results, at regional (CA current) and local (MBNMS) scales
Identifying Key Ecosystem Services
depends on value of activities related to ecosystem attributes, services relate to human activity and value in supporting human well-being (OR: BASED ON STAKEHOLDER INPUT? BRING THIS UP AT THIS STAGE IN ADDITION TO FINAL STEP?)
likely to be incomplete with iteration adding additional services as information improves
needs to consider possibility of services not currently used but may become more prominent in future
examples at different scales of the system
use the outcome of the threats analysis and the geography from the boundary delineation as a basis for discussion of key activities
Exploring Interactions among the Ecosystem Services
need to identify key interactions and feedback loops from one service to another or from a service back to itself (e.g. compensatory response)
use path analysis as an analytical tool for considering direct and indirect effects
interactions and feedback used in developing models for generating services
describe example for kelp habitat
Valuing Ecosystem Services
using economic valuation so that services can be compared in a common currency (dollars, euros).
calculate willingness to pay for activities (services) that depend upon the ecosystem
example considering services related to kelp habitat
Developing Generating Functions for Ecosystem Services
generate state variables that activities (services) depend upon
generating functions can take many possible forms and need not be the same for all state variables
use results of path analysis on interactions in order to ensure key interactions and feedbacks are included
use valuation methods for generated services to explore response to management actions
possible example with the MBNMS management plan
Evaluating Policy Options
value of services go into objective function conditioned on management actions (e.g. limitation on activities)
services are weighted through stakeholder process
objective function can be explored or optimized (or satisficed) over the range of policy options
consider option value of services and reducing uncertainty in future
Indicators of Ecosystem Changes and Monitoring of Management
Adaptive Management and Iteration
Notes, what about data poor systems? When do analyses become untenable because of lack of data?